Patience - 2018-07-16

Let's talk about the magic of compounding, but with a twist. It's not just about the what of returns, but the when. Think of it like this: unless you're starting with a Scrooge McDuck-sized pile of cash, the real fireworks of compounding happen much later in the game.

Year

Percent

Return

Accumulated Return

Total %

1

10%

1.1

1.1

0.00%

2

10%

1.21

2.31

0.00%

3

10%

1.331

3.641

0.00%

4

10%

1.4641

5.1051

0.00%

5

10%

1.61051

6.71561

0.00%

6

10%

1.771561

8.487171

0.01%

7

10%

1.948717

10.435888

0.01%

8

10%

2.143589

12.579477

0.01%

9

10%

2.357948

14.937425

0.01%

10

10%

2.593742

17.531167

0.01%

11

10%

2.853117

20.384284

0.01%

12

10%

3.138428

23.522712

0.02%

13

10%

3.452271

26.974983

0.02%

14

10%

3.797498

30.772482

0.02%

15

10%

4.177248

34.94973

0.02%

16

10%

4.594973

39.544703

0.03%

17

10%

5.05447

44.599173

0.03%

18

10%

5.559917

50.15909

0.03%

19

10%

6.115909

56.274999

0.04%

20

10%

6.7275

63.002499

0.04%

21

10%

7.40025

70.402749

0.05%

22

10%

8.140275

78.543024

0.05%

23

10%

8.954302

87.497327

0.06%

24

10%

9.849733

97.347059

0.06%

25

10%

10.83471

108.18177

0.07%

26

10%

11.91818

120.09994

0.08%

27

10%

13.10999

133.20994

0.09%

28

10%

14.42099

147.63093

0.10%

29

10%

15.86309

163.49402

0.11%

30

10%

17.4494

180.94342

0.12%

31

10%

19.19434

200.13777

0.13%

32

10%

21.11378

221.25154

0.15%

33

10%

23.22515

244.4767

0.16%

34

10%

25.54767

270.02437

0.18%

35

10%

28.10244

298.12681

0.20%

36

10%

30.91268

329.03949

0.22%

37

10%

34.00395

363.04343

0.24%

38

10%

37.40434

400.44778

0.26%

39

10%

41.14478

441.59256

0.29%

40

10%

45.25926

486.85181

0.32%

41

10%

49.78518

536.63699

0.35%

42

10%

54.7637

591.40069

0.39%

43

10%

60.24007

651.64076

0.43%

44

10%

66.26408

717.90484

0.47%

45

10%

72.89048

790.79532

0.52%

46

10%

80.17953

870.97485

0.57%

47

10%

88.19749

959.17234

0.63%

48

10%

97.01723

1056.1896

0.70%

49

10%

106.719

1162.9085

0.77%

50

10%

117.3909

1280.2994

0.84%

51

10%

129.1299

1409.4293

0.93%

52

10%

142.0429

1551.4723

1.02%

53

10%

156.2472

1707.7195

1.13%

54

10%

171.8719

1879.5914

1.24%

55

10%

189.0591

2068.6506

1.36%

56

10%

207.9651

2276.6156

1.50%

57

10%

228.7616

2505.3772

1.65%

58

10%

251.6377

2757.0149

1.82%

59

10%

276.8015

3033.8164

2.00%

60

10%

304.4816

3338.298

2.20%

61

10%

334.9298

3673.2278

2.42%

62

10%

368.4228

4041.6506

2.67%

63

10%

405.2651

4446.9157

2.93%

64

10%

445.7916

4892.7073

3.23%

65

10%

490.3707

5383.078

3.55%

66

10%

539.4078

5922.4858

3.91%

67

10%

593.3486

6515.8344

4.30%

68

10%

652.6834

7168.5178

4.73%

69

10%

717.9518

7886.4696

5.20%

70

10%

789.747

8676.2165

5.72%

71

10%

868.7217

9544.9382

6.30%

72

10%

955.5938

10500.532

6.93%

73

10%

1051.153

11551.685

7.62%

74

10%

1156.269

12707.954

8.38%

75

10%

1271.895

13979.849

9.22%

76

10%

1399.085

15378.934

10.15%

77

10%

1538.993

16917.927

11.16%

78

10%

1692.893

18610.82

12.28%

79

10%

1862.182

20473.002

13.51%

80

10%

2048.4

22521.402

14.86%

81

10%

2253.24

24774.643

16.34%

82

10%

2478.564

27253.207

17.98%

83

10%

2726.421

29979.628

19.78%

84

10%

2999.063

32978.69

21.76%

85

10%

3298.969

36277.659

23.93%

86

10%

3628.866

39906.525

26.33%

87

10%

3991.753

43898.278

28.96%

88

10%

4390.928

48289.206

31.86%

89

10%

4830.021

53119.226

35.04%

90

10%

5313.023

58432.249

38.55%

91

10%

5844.325

64276.574

42.41%

92

10%

6428.757

70705.331

46.65%

93

10%

7071.633

77776.964

51.31%

94

10%

7778.796

85555.76

56.44%

95

10%

8556.676

94112.437

62.09%

96

10%

9412.344

103524.78

68.30%

97

10%

10353.58

113878.36

75.13%

98

10%

11388.94

125267.29

82.64%

99

10%

12527.83

137795.12

90.91%

100

10%

13780.61

151575.74

100.00%


Check out this simple example: imagine a 100-year investment journey with 10% compouding returns. You might be surprised to learn that it takes a whopping 92 years to see your total return cross the 50% mark! Now, before you get discouraged, this isn't about downplaying those early years. They're crucial! It's just that the really big gains tend to cluster towards the end. Think of it as a snowball rolling downhill – it starts small, but gathers momentum and size exponentially.

The longer you invest, the bigger the returns, yes. But the key is that the lion's share of that growth happens in the final stretch. It's like a marathon where you sprint the last mile.

Take Warren Buffett, for instance. His first fifty years of investing, while successful, look like a mere warm-up compared to his current net worth. He understood the power of compounding and, crucially, he had the patience to let it work its magic. He buys companies, injects capital when needed, and then lets the managers do their thing, focusing on long-term growth. This strategy allows him to reap massive rewards down the line.

Contrast this with many hedge fund managers. Under pressure to deliver quick returns to investors, they often prioritize short-term gains over long-term vision. They might talk the talk about long-term investing, but their actions often tell a different story. They're chasing immediate gratification, while Buffett is playing the long game. And that, as they say, is where the real treasure lies.

 

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